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ICT Evening Seminar
Tuesday, 8th February 2008
The White Swan Hotel, Arundel
The ICT’s First Evening Seminar of 2008 took place on Tuesday, 8th February, at the White Swan Hotel in Arundel following the Annual General Meeting. The event was chaired by the ICT’s Technical Director, Bill Wilkie, and before the seminar’s first speaker was introduced, he broke the sad news of the death of David Kingsley to the attendees. David had spent many years in the PCB industry and had made a significant contribution to the ICT until his retirement.
Unlike some recent ICT seminars,
this one did not have a specific theme and the programme was therefore able to
cover three wide ranging subject areas that were of specific interest to
members. These were legislation, new
technology and forecasting the future of the industry. The first presentation of the evening was
given by Mike Inman of BSI and this covered the recently introduced REACH
regulations. He began by giving an
overview of the various related pieces of producer responsibility legislation
that were already impacting much of the electronics industry supply chain from
design to end of life. These included
the RoHS and WEEE Directives, as well as the
The second presentation of the
evening was given by Darren Southee from
Areas for further work were also identified and these included improving to cell shelf life and peak current capability. Data was shown illustrating the wet shelf life improvement that had already been achieved and cells with a stability of several weeks could now be fabricated. Cell capacities of 10 mA hours had also been attained. A technique known as Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy had been used to characterise the cells. This gave an indication of what was happening inside the cells and example spectra were shown for cells produced at Brunel and they were compared to spectra from conventional cells. There were several industrial partners supporting this work including Hallmark, Gwent Electronic Materials and DuPont. Work had also been carried out on the manufacture of electroluminescent displays that could be printed using offset lithography and data was given showing how the luminance varied with applied voltage. Low power thermochromic displays had also been fabricated. A key part of the presentation was when the lights were dimmed in the room for the demonstration of a printed electroluminescent device that was powered by a printed battery!
The final presentation of the seminar was given by Francesca Stern of BPA Consulting Ltd and was entitled ‘Forecasting for the PCB Industry’. She began by outlining why forecasting was needed; essentially, good forecasting enabled senior company managers to take their businesses in the appropriate direction. When forecasting for the PCB industry, it was important to monitor a number of other economic sector growth factors e.g. the semiconductor industry. Most economic factors tended to show positive growth curves, but quite often these could also be quite erratic when data was reported on a month by month basis. Smoothing over a suitable period such as three, six or twelve months could thus be useful in ironing out these erratic swings for forecasting. Leading indicators were also useful for analysing the general economic state of the economy, e.g. house build starts and this type of information was just one of the many sources that were used to help produce an accurate industry forecast. BPA had also developed a methodology for longer-term forecasting which enabled them to produce accurate sectoral forecasts e.g. for PCBs and computers etc. BPA also had over thirty years of cumulative data which it could draw on to help produce future forecasts. Some examples of historic forecasting were given and compared to what happened in reality; the results had generally turned out to be remarkably accurate. Some of the factors that could upset a forecast were also discussed.
Information such as PCB lead times
was also able to help give a good indication of what was actually happening in
the industry. European PCB price trends
were shown and it was stated that European PCB prices were currently showing a
slight increase, despite the pressure on prices from
Overall, this seminar provided
the attendees with information on three disparate but important and interesting
subjects that should be of key interest to all those involved in the PCB
industry. The ICT programme of evening
seminars continues throughout the year and more details can be found at the ICT
website. The ICT Annual Symposium will
be held at The Tweed Horizon Centre in Newtown St Boswells,
Martin Goosey
12th February 2008

L to R Bill Wilkie, Darren Southee, Mike Inman and Francesca Stern